Differences between Independent Arrival Time Picks

R J Willemann


Rapid exchange of seismic waveform data is becoming more practicable and affordable, as evidenced partly by the growing number of "open" stations. A side-effect of wider access is that station operators are no longer the only source of arrival picks that might be used in compiling seismic bulletins. The situation may have been widely noticed first during GSETT-3 in 1995, when the IDC became the most readily available source of readings from stations that participated in the experiment. These stations include those that were already among the most prolific contributors to global compilations, such as the Yellowknife and Warramunga Arrrays. Independent arrival picks from the same records may create uncertainty about the "best" sources of readings and increase the responsibility of agencies preparing composite bulletins to choose preferred readings well.

But independent arrival picks also present new opportunities. Systematic differences between body wave magnitudes, for example, have widened recognition of differences around the world in how amplitudes are actually measured. We use our database of duplicate readings to investigate onset time differences as picked by the IDC and other agencies. We find scatters of one second or more in the time differences, with no evidence that this scatter is less for larger amplitude arrivals. Generally, onset time differences are more narrowly distributed for initial phases than for later phases. For each station examined and for each phase with a reasonably compact distribution of differences, the median and mode of IDC picks are early compared with operator picks. The systematic differences are small compared with the scatter but statistically very significant.